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Labour vote surges in latest council by-elections

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Labour vote surges in latest council by-elections

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Published by Jon Land for 24dash.com in Local Government and also in Central Government

Labour vote surges in latest council by-elections Labour vote surges in latest council by-elections

The latest council by-elections support opinion poll suggestions of a surge for Labour but also cast doubt on findings of a Liberal Democrat slump to as low as 13%.

The Tories were routed at Bilston North, Wolverhampton, this week, bringing their net losses this month to five.

The landslide victory of candidate Linda Leach gives Labour 30 of the 60 city councillors but the Liberal Democrat mayor would have the casting vote in the event of a tied division.

There was a huge swing to Labour compared with the result on May 6, the same day as the General Election, when it won another of the ward's seats.

It finished the month with six gains.

Although the Lib Dems did badly in the Wolverhampton result, coming fifth and last behind the BNP and Ukip, their candidate, Simon Allen, came from nowhere to win a previously non-party seat at Radstock, Bath and North East Somerset Council, helped by a tight squeeze on the Tories.

The outcome was disappointing for Labour, which has the other ward councillor.

Over the month, the Lib Dems held their own, taking three seats from the Tories - including a landslide win at St Marys with Summercombe, Torbay Borough. They also won one from no party but lost one to Labour.

Analysis of a large sample of 19 results in July suggests a projected 0.9% nationwide Labour lead over the Tories - the first for four years.

A calculation based on 13 contests fought both times by all three major parties gives a line-up of C 34.7%, Lab 33.8%, Lib Dem 21.5%.

RESULTS:

Bath and North East Somerset Council - Radstock: Lib Dem 542, Lab 386, Ind 370, C 55. (May 2007 - Two seats Lab 611, No party 483, Ind 430, 396, 376, 264, C 213, 199). Lib Dem gain from No party.

Mid Sussex District - Haywards Heath Franklands: C 545, Lib Dem 464, Ind 63. (May 2007 - Two seats C 756, 675, Ind 420, Lib Dem 239, 226, Lab 125). C hold. Swing 12.4% C to Lib Dem.

Wolverhampton City - Bilston North: Lab 1292, C 460, BNP 131, Ukip 55, Lib Dem 52. (May 2010 - Lab 2262, C 1481, Lib Dem 663). Lab gain from C.
Swing 13% C to Lab.

From last week:

Babergh District - Great Cornard North: Lab 340, C 201, Lib Dem 141, Ukip 72. (May 2007 - Two seats C 459, 455, Lab 338, 322). Lab gain from C. Swing 17.3% C to Lab.

Basildon District - Nethermayne: Lib Dem 605, Lab 461, C 372, Ukip 280, BNP 70, Ind 18. (May 2010 - Lib Dem 2017, C 1727, Lab 1312, BNP 487).
Lib Dem hold. Swing 2.3% Lib Dem to Lab.

Camden London Borough - Frognal and Fitzjohns: C 1061, Lib Dem 329, Lab 235, Green 71. (May 2010 - Three seats C 2624, 2490, 2382, Lib Dem 1151, 1046, Lab 910, 870, Lib Dem 864, Lab 724, Green 546, 359, 342). C hold.
Swing 6.1% Lib Dem to C.

Cherwell District - Kidlington North: Lib Dem 526, C 419, Lab 216, Ukip 86. (May 2010 - Lib Dem 1540, C 1334). Lib Dem hold. Swing 0.7% C to Lib Dem.

Kensington London Borough - Holland: C 649, Lib Dem 146, Ind 70. (May 2010 - Three seats C 1832, 1771, 1760, Lib Dem 659, 544, 466, Lab 453, 439, 354, Green 344). C hold. Swing 9.2% Lib Dem to C.

Rhondda, Cynon, Taff County Borough - Cymmer: Lab 740, Plaid Cymru 470, Ind 142, C 41, Green 23. (May 2008 - Two seats Lab 721, 658, Plaid Cymru 652, 625). Lab hold. Swing 7.6% Plaid Cymru to Lab.

Torbay Borough - St Marys with Summercombe: Lib Dem 801, C 365, Lab 195, Ukip 159. (May 2007 - Two seats C 894, 884, Lib Dem 678, 585, BNP 295).
Lib Dem gain from C. Swing 21.4% C to Lib Dem.

Warwick District - Warwick South: C 1107, Lab 648, Lib Dem 298. (May 2007 - Three seats C 1579, 1570, 1561, Lab 538, 534, Lib Dem 510, Lab 415, Lib Dem 402, Green 401, Lib Dem 371, Green 361). C hold. Swing 7.3% C to Lab.

West Berkshire District - Thatcham South and Crookham: Lib Dem 936, C 787. (May 2007 - Two seats Lib Dem 898, 861, C 817, 764). Lib Dem hold.
Swing 1.6% C to Lib Dem.

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