Housing expert calls for new system of home-ownership
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A Durham University housing expert is calling on the Government
and financial institutions to back a new, safer system of
home-ownership for the UK.
With repossessions estimated to climb to levels not seen since
1991, Susan Smith, Professor of Geography and a Director of the
Institute of Advanced Study at Durham University, believes the time
is right for creating a public-private partnership to make
effective use of ‘housing derivatives’ –
instruments enabling a range of individuals and institutions to
share in the fortunes of the housing market, whilst home-owners can
buy and sell their properties with much less risk.
In a paper presented at the British Academy Prof Smith, whose
research is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council,
will explain how this can be achieved.
She will argue that innovative financial instruments could be used
by governments, banks and other organisations to enter into a
partnership with home buyers, enabling them to choose: how much of
their wealth to invest into housing, how much of their home to own,
and what proportion of their incomes to reserve for other
things.
Prof Smith said: “We are in the midst of a financial crisis
rooted in the housing economy; we can either patch things up and
aim for business as usual, or take this unique opportunity to
create a more sustainable housing future.
"Patching things up means helping those in financial stress to
continue to pay their mortgages. This is generally achieved by
supporting incomes and deferring regular payments in the hope of
better times ahead; or by easing the transition to renting."
Durham University research shows that this only tackles half the
problem. British home-buyers hold most of their wealth in their
home, and they depend on this as a financial buffer to tide them
over income falls and to manage unanticipated life events. Falling
prices show how risky it is to hold so many financial eggs in a
single housing basket, vulnerable to the ups and downs of
price.
Prof Smith said: “The only way to protect home-owners from
this kind of risk is to create a different kind of housing system
in which housing services and investment returns are not so closely
linked.”
The instruments required to achieve this are housing derivatives;
financial instruments whose values derive from the performance of
an underlying asset or index.
They are used for trading products as diverse as pork and silver,
and – despite the moral panic inspired by the misuse of
credit derivatives – they can help provide long-term
stability in fluctuating markets.
Using housing derivatives (based on house price indexes), home
buyers could trade lower housing outlays against future gains,
first time buyers could buy in stages, and owners could recoup part
of their investment in times of need.
Such instruments could be used to:
- Reduce the costs of entry to the housing market, enabling first-time buyers to take out smaller loans at a low rate of interest;
- Insure home equity against slumping prices;
- Allow people in arrears to swap future price appreciation for a lump sum to reduce their loan (and perhaps stave off repossession);
- Help home owners balance their investments.
- Provide renters with an opportunity to buy into future house price appreciation if they want to.
Professor Smith said: “In this new system a family in
financial trouble could remain in their home with less cost and
less distress than at present.”
"The whole housing system could be transformed, so that there is no
sharp financial divide between owners and renters, and all
properties involve at least some equity share.
“Ninety per cent of us rented at the turn of the twentieth
century; and even in 1960 only four in 10 households owned or were
buying their home. Today we are both a nation of home owners and a
market of mortgagors, with far too much debt and way too many
assets anchored in a single property.
“Tomorrow we could be a society of home stewards, sharing the
risks and returns on housing – as well as the responsibility
of maintaining the stock for futures generations – among
ourselves and with other institutions.”
According to Prof Smith, financial markets – whose failures
have caused the current crisis – will have to help. The
financial sector will have to show that they can use these
instruments to design new mortgage and insurance products that
effectively share the risks and spread the gains associated with
participation in the housing market.
And the challenge for government is to be sufficiently nimble and
imaginative to regulate them effectively. Policy has to be driven
by evidence; but it also needs new ideas.
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