Chancellor will deliver 'responsible and disciplined budget
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Chancellor Alistair Darling will deliver a "responsible and
disciplined" Budget next week, ensuring Britain follows a stable
course as it heads into recovery, Business Secretary Lord Mandelson
said.
His comments last night came amid speculation that Mr Darling may
use higher-than expected tax revenues to pay down the UK's record
debt - currently 56% of GDP - by as much as £5-£10
billion.
The need to rein in spending looks set to rule out "giveaways" in
next Wednesday's Budget, but figures released yesterday suggested
Mr Darling may be able to downgrade his prediction of £178
billion public sector borrowing this year and make some inroads
into the deficit.
Conservatives were today accusing Labour of being in "chaos" over
tax, after Lord Mandelson suggested the Government might be ready
to impose further hikes in 2011, on top of the new 50% income tax
rate and the 1p National Insurance increase already
announced.
The Business Secretary said that by the time of a spending review
due to come into effect in 2011, the Government would be in a
better position to judge "what the economic circumstances require,
both in raising taxation - should that be necessary in addition to
what we have already announced - or cutting public
expenditure".
His comments followed hot on the heels of Chief Secretary to the
Treasury Liam Byrne's retraction of a suggestion that Labour might
be able to rule out a post-election rise in VAT.
Conservative Treasury spokesman Philip Hammond said: "Labour is in
chaos on tax.
"First the Chief Secretary was forced to backtrack and admit that
Labour would not rule out VAT increases.
"Now Peter Mandelson admits there may be tax rises in the second
year of a new Labour government. People will be asking who speaks
for the Government on tax - Liam Byrne, Peter Mandelson or Alistair
Darling."
But in an interview with the Press Association, Lord Mandelson
denied he had let slip secret plans for tax rises.
He made clear no Chancellor would "bind his hands" on future tax
and spending decisions, but said these would be taken at the time
in the light of prevailing circumstances.
But he added: "I made absolutely no suggestion or prediction that
taxes would go up that year or any other year. That is a matter for
the Chancellor of the Exchequer to judge at the time.
"We have made it absolutely clear that we are going to halve the
borrowing deficit during the next four years and that will involve
£19 billion worth of additional taxation. We have already
made clear in the Pre-Budget Report what those tax increases will
be, where they are fairly targeted and who will have to pay.
"Obviously no Chancellor is going to bind his hands, but these
proposals are absolutely clear for anyone to understand and there
is absolutely nothing that I said today that suggested or implied
that we have other tax plans that we are going to bring out at a
future time."
Looking ahead to next week's Budget, Lord Mandelson said: "I think
what the Chancellor has said is right - we have to set a very
stable course.
"Yes, recovery is under way, but the state of the economy is still
quite fragile.
"We need to wait and see what the Chancellor has to say when the
Budget comes, but he will be exercising the greatest responsibility
and the greatest discipline because that is what the economy and
the state of the public finance requires and demands."
Mr Darling will have more leeway than expected in the Budget thanks
to the sums raised from the 50% supertax on banking bonuses over
£25,000.
The Chancellor initially predicted the one-off levy would generate
around £550 million for the Treasury, but banks' decision to
carry on paying big bonuses means revenue from that source may have
topped £2 billion.
The Financial Times today predicted that any additional sums could
be used to pay down debt, rather than in a pre-election spending
splurge to woo voters.
Figures from the Office of National Statistics showed state
borrowing for the 11 months to February had reached £131.9
billion. While an all-time high, the figure gave hope that the
Treasury may undershoot Mr Darling's £178 billion forecast
for the year in December's Pre-Budget Report.
The ONS also revealed that tax receipts rose by 3.6% year-on-year
to £42.6 billion as the recovery from recession gathered
pace.
Receipts from VAT, which returned to 17.5% after a temporary cut to
15% to stimulate demand, rose 30% to £6.9 billion last
month.
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